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Excess Returns

Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau

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Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea Capital Management. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing and behavioral finance, and talk to interesting guests with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.
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TRIUM Connects

TRIUM Global EMBA

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I am lucky. As part of the TRIUM Global EMBA team, I get to interact with some of the most interesting and informed people on the planet. This is never more true than in the conversations I have at the margins of the official program – exchanges with people who enrich, educate and entertain. TRIUM Connects seeks to reproduce those moments in a series of recorded conversations on topics from the worlds of business, economics, leadership and political economy. I hope the podcast gives people a ...
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The award* winning Investors First Podcast is a service of CFA Society Orlando. Subject matter experts from our Society interview Founders, Chief Executive Officer’s, Chief Investment Strategists, Fed Presidents and more to discuss timely and relevant topics in finance. Our mission is to educate investors and investment professionals in Florida, the Americas and beyond, with a focus on making you a more informed investor and/or advisor. *The CFA Institute awarded CFA Society Orlando the 2020 ...
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In this episode, we are joined by Simplify Asset Management's Mike Green. We build on our previous episodes with Mike where we discussed his research on the impact of passive investing on the market and focus on its practical implications and how it impacts how investors construct their portfolios. We discuss the types of equity strategies that wou…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Larry Swedroe to tackle some of the most pressing issues in investing today.We dive deep into topics that are on many investors' minds, including:Is value investing still effective in today's market?How is the rise of passive investing impacting market efficiency?Should we be concerned about marke…
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Today’s guest is Marko Papic, Marko leads BCA Research's BCA Access and developed GeoMacro Research, the first discretionary macro-geopolitical investment strategy in finance. He connects clients with a broad expert network and custom research, having founded BCA’s Geopolitical Strategy service. His book, Geopolitical Alpha, presents a framework fo…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Ben Carlson, Director of Institutional Asset Management at Ritholtz Wealth and author of the popular investing blog "A Wealth of Common Sense." We discussed his insightful article "15 Ways to Lose Money in the Markets," which outlines major mistakes investors make and how to avoid them.We explore …
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Cem Karsan of Kai Volatility Advisors for an in-depth discussion on the current state of markets and the global economy. We explore:- How geopolitical events in the Middle East and Ukraine are impacting markets and risk- Cem's views on inflation, recent Fed actions, and market flows- The impact of …
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In this episode, Matt sits down with Brent Donnelly, author of "50 Trades in 50 Weeks: One Year of Good Ideas, Dumb Mistakes, and Timeless Trading Lessons". Brent spent close to a year conducting a unique experiment where he created and executed one unique trade every week across a wide variety of markets and asset classes. We discuss what he learn…
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In this episode, we dive deep into the world of options and their impact on market dynamics. We start with an "Options Dealer Flows 101" primer, explaining key concepts like delta hedging, gamma, charm, and vanna to help viewers understand how options flows can drive stock prices.We then analyze the current market situation heading into the Septemb…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sat down with Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research and YardeniQuickTakes.com. Ed is one of the most accurate and respected Wall Street strategists, and we were excited to discuss his views on the economy, markets, and forecasting. We covered a wide range of topics, including:Ed's outlook for inflation and …
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with our good friend Adam Butler, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of ReSolve Asset Management. We cover a lot of ground, including: The challenge of distinguishing investment edge from noise over typical investing lifetimesThe concept of return stacking and how it allows investors to increase p…
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Today’s guest is Jeremy Schwartz, CFA, Global Chief Investment Officer at WisdomTree. Before Jeremy started at WisdomTree in 2005, he was a head research assistant for Professor Jeremy Siegel and became his co-author on the sixth edition of the book Stocks for the Long Run. He received his B.S. in economics from the Wharton School of the University…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sat down with NYU professor Aswath Damodaran to discuss his new book on the corporate life cycle and get his insights on a wide range of investing topics.We cover:- How companies age and why they struggle to act their age- The importance of storytelling in valuation- Aswath's thoughts on factor investing and it…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Jason Buck of Mutiny Funds to examine the idea of stocks for the long run and some potential challenges to it. We discuss:- Why the impressive historical returns of the US stock market may be an outlier- The importance of looking at real returns vs nominal returns- How to build a diversified portf…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we welcome back Andy Constan, founder of DampedSpring . We cover a wide range of topics, including recent market volatility, the broader economic outlook, and Andy's perspectives on inflation and monetary policy. Andy shares his framework for analyzing deleveraging events, emphasizes the importance of thinking in …
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Across the world, the rise of various forms of authoritarianism and ethno-nationalism seems to be on an ever upward trend. This creates huge uncertainties across multiple dimensions – personal, cultural, political, and not least of which in challenges business leaders face as they attempt to navigate across this uncertainty. All of this turmoil is,…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Meb Faber, founder of Cambria Investment Management, to discuss his unconventional views on investing that often go against mainstream opinions. We explore a wide range of topics, including the Federal Reserve's performance, dividend investing strategies, international diversification for U.S. inv…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, our good friend Matt Ziegler interviews retirement planning expert Wade Pfau. They discuss key concepts in retirement income planning, including the 4% rule, variable withdrawal strategies, and Pfau's "safety first" approach. They discuss Wade's work on retirement income styles and the RISA (Retirement Income Styl…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we take a deep dive into value investing with our good friend Tobias Carlisle. We discuss the recent outperformance of small cap and value stocks, tackle the challenges of long periods of underperformance for value strategies, and examine how Tobias constructs his portfolios. We delve into his process for selectin…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research about his unique systematic approach to analyzing markets. We explore his outlook for the second half of 2024, discussing topics like the future of the 60/40 portfolio, inflation trends, labor market indicators, earnings expectations, and the impact of AI on producti…
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In this episode we have a fascinating discussion with Mike Green of Simplify about the ongoing impact of passive investing on markets. Mike shares insights from recent academic research supporting his thesis and discusses how the risks of passive may play out over time. We also explore potential risks from increased options usage and the short vola…
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In this episode, we have the pleasure of hosting Michael Mauboussin, Michael is a highly respected figure in finance, celebrated for his deep insights into decision-making, behavioral economics, and investing. Michael is currently the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global (part of Morgan Stanley Investment Management). He also serves a…
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In this episode from our sister podcast Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we dive into the key lessons we took from our recent conversation with Rick Ferrii on Excess Returns. If you enjoy the episode and want to receive future episodes of the podcast, please subscribe by searching Two Quants and a Financial Planner on your favorite podcast platf…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we dive deep into the world of macroeconomics with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds. We explore a wide range of topics, including inflation, the Federal Reserve's policies, and the overall state of the economy. Bob shares his insights on how market price targets can be evaluated from a fundamental perspective and di…
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In our latest episode of Show Us Your Portfolio, we speak with Standpoint's Eric Crittenden. Eric discusses the all weather approach he uses to construct his personal portfoio. He emphasizes maximizing "true wealth" per unit of risk, which he defines as compounded returns after accounting for all costs, taxes, and inflation. Eric's all-weather inve…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Rick Ferri to discuss a wide range of investing topics. We explore the concept of investing with simplicity, the importance of asset allocation, and the role of passive investing in today's market. Rick shares his insights on the stages investors go through to reach the point where simplicity is b…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Simeon Hyman, Global Investment Strategist at ProShares, for a wide-ranging discussion on the current state of the economy, inflation, the Fed, market valuations, and market leadership. Simeon shares his thoughts on the possibility of a soft landing, the impact of AI on productivity and the econom…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Anupam Ghose, co-founder of System2 Advisors and sub-advisor to the Simplify Tara India Opportunities ETF. We discuss the Indian economy, recent political developments, and the country's attractive demographics and growth potential. Anupam shares his approach to stock picking for his concentrated …
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Today we host Ali Hamed, a Co-Founder and Partner at CoVenture and a prominent figure in venture capital and alternative investments. With a background in finance and technology, Ali brings strategic insights to early-stage investing. Hamed's track record of success and commitment to fostering entrepreneurship make him a key player in shaping the s…
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Once in a while you come across a person who embodies, in their thoughts and deeds, a kind of archetype or ideal form of a role – the great artist, the wise philosopher, the genius physicist. Hervé Coyco, for me, is the archetype of the best of business leaders. In our conversation he shares some of the wisdom, humility and practices which have mad…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Greg Reid, President of Real Assets at Westwood Group Holdings and lead portfolio manager for their $2 billion energy investment team. We cover the outlook for energy and the major areas of the energy market. We discuss the future of clean energy and why traditional fuels may play a bigger role in it…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we talk Moat investing with Yuri Khodjamirian, CIO of Tema ETFs. We discuss his unique approach to identifying companies with durable competitive advantages and how it differs from traditional Moat investing. We also look at the various types of moats, such as economies of scale, strong network effects, non-replic…
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Adam Mead, founder of Mead Capital Management and author of the Complete Financial History of Berkshire Hathaway. We discuss the recent Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting, notably missing the presence of the late Charlie Munger. Adam shares insights on Munger's contributions to Berkshire, the compa…
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On April 30th, 2024, Excess Returns and SpotGamma brought together 24 of the smartest minds in the investing world for an all-day interview event to raise money for Susan G. Komen. In this episode we are providing two of our favorite interviews of the day with Corey Hoffstein and Ben Hunt. You can watch the full day of interviews or make a donation…
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On April 30th, 2024, Excess Returns and SpotGamma brought together 24 of the smartest minds in the investing world for an all-day interview event to raise money for Susan G. Komen. In this episode we are providing two of our favorite interviews of the day with Mike Green and Mike Taylor. You can watch the full day of interviews or make a donation b…
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On April 30th, 2024, Excess Returns and SpotGamma brought together 24 of the smartest minds in the investing world for an all-day interview event to raise money for Susan G. Komen. In this episode we are providing two of our favorite interviews of the day with Cem Karsan and Andy Constan. You can watch the full day of interviews or make a donation …
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Today we host Dr. Meir Statman, somebody who was extremely productive during the pandemic, which included completing his new book A Wealth of Well Being. For those familiar with his behavioral finance research, Meir needs no introduction. For the rest of you listening, Meir has devoted his entire career to behavioral finance and making better inves…
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In this episode of Show Us Your Portfolio, Jared Dillian, author of the investment newsletter The Daily Dirt Nap and the book "No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life," discusses his personal investing philosophy and portfolio. Dillian advocates for a diversified approach that includes stocks, bonds, cash, gold, and real estate, which …
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Jeff Muhlenkamp, portfolio manager at Muhlenkamp and Company. We discuss Jeff's views on inflation, the likelihood of a recession, and the possibility of another financial crisis. We also take a in depth look at his investment process, which focuses on finding good companies with strong growth, profi…
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In this episode we are joined by Andy Constan, founder of Damped Spring Advisors. We discuss his outlook on the current economic landscape, why he left "higher for longer" island, inflation, the Fed's actions, the bond market, and the influence of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and a lot more. He also shares his views on defining alpha and beta in…
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Our guest today is Sion Evans, CFA, Senior Investment Manager at VenCap, one of the longest-established investment management and advisory firms active in the VC industry today. They’ve made over 500 commitments to venture capital funds in the US, Europe, China and India. In today’s episode, Sion gives a masterclass on what the data says about vent…
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David Einhorn recently said that he thinks fundamental investing is broken. If he is right, there would certainly be significant long-term implications for value investing. We explored Einhorn's case in several of our episodes and so we thought it was time we explored the other side of the argument and looked at the long-term case for value. And we…
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My guest for this episode is Laurence Lehmann-Ortega. Laurence is one of the world’s leading experts on how existing firms can create innovative new business models. In this episode we discuss the newest edition of her book, Re(Inventing) your Business Model: The Odyssey 3.14 Approach, co-authored with Helene Musikas and Jean March Schoettl. The bo…
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In this episode, Research Affiliates founder Rob Arnott returns for his third appearance on Excess Returns. We cover a wide range of topics, including inflation, the struggles of value investing, expected future returns, avoiding value traps, AI and a lot more. Stay tuned until the end when we ask Rob what he is most worried and optimistic about wh…
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AI stocks have seen a big run recently. This has led many fundamental-based investors to suggest that things have gotten ahead of themselves. Some have even suggested AI is already in a bubble. But what if we are still in the early innings? What if a bubble is just getting started that could eventually exceed the dotcom bubble? Those are the questi…
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There have been many significant events in the economy and stock market over the past several years. We have had inflation. We have had bank failures. We have had a pandemic. We have even had a potential bubble developing in the AI space. Despite their differences, there is one thing that all of these events have in common - all of them have happen…
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In this episode, we are joined by Mike Taylor, manager of the Simplify Health Care ETF (PINK). Mike is one of the best healthcare investors out there and has managed portfolios for Oppenheimer and major hedge funds like Citadel and Millennium. PINK is the only ETF in existence that donates all its profits to charity with its proceeds benefitting th…
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In this episode of Show Us Your Portfolio, we speak with Unlimited Funds founder Bob Elliott. We discuss the unique multi strategy approach he uses to manage his personal portfolio. We cover the weaknesses of the 60-40 portfolio, the 4 buckets Bob uses as the building blocks for his investment strategy, the benefits of simplicity, how Bob views hom…
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David Einhorn said in a recent podcast interview that he feels that the market is broken. He has made significant changes to his investment approach as a result. Much of the basis for his assertion is based on the work of Simplify's Mike Green, who has been warning investors about the dangers of passive investing for many years. In this episode, we…
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