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Book Review: Thinking In Bets | Ep 75

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コンテンツは Tyson Gaylord によって提供されます。エピソード、グラフィック、ポッドキャストの説明を含むすべてのポッドキャスト コンテンツは、Tyson Gaylord またはそのポッドキャスト プラットフォーム パートナーによって直接アップロードされ、提供されます。誰かがあなたの著作物をあなたの許可なく使用していると思われる場合は、ここで概説されているプロセスに従うことができますhttps://ja.player.fm/legal

Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots’ one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?

Even the best decision doesn’t yield the best outcome every time. There’s always an element of luck that you can’t control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it’s difficult to say “I’m not sure” in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don’t always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don’t always lead to bad outcomes.

By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don’t, you’ll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You’ll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

~

Links, Resources & Show Notes: http://www.thesocialchameleon.show/Thinking-in-Bets

~~~

Giveaways at: http://www.thesocialchameleon.show/pickme

Call: (480) 525-5258 Email: info@thesocialchameleon.show

Connect With Us:

Facebook: https://fb.me/SocialChameleonShow

Instagram: https://instagram.com/socialchameleonshow

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SocialChamShow

Subscribe:

YouTube: http://bit.ly/SCS-Subscribe

Apple Podcast:https://apple.co/2L8hl6R

Google Podcast: http://bit.ly/SCS-Google-Podcast

Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2KYJ0GF

Stitcher: https://bit.ly/SCS-Stitcher

More Apps Here http://thesocialchameleon.show/podcast

#SocialChameleonShow #BookReview #ThinkingInBets #AnnieDuke

  continue reading

186 つのエピソード

Artwork
iconシェア
 
Manage episode 255076929 series 2630930
コンテンツは Tyson Gaylord によって提供されます。エピソード、グラフィック、ポッドキャストの説明を含むすべてのポッドキャスト コンテンツは、Tyson Gaylord またはそのポッドキャスト プラットフォーム パートナーによって直接アップロードされ、提供されます。誰かがあなたの著作物をあなたの許可なく使用していると思われる場合は、ここで概説されているプロセスに従うことができますhttps://ja.player.fm/legal

Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result.

In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots’ one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?

Even the best decision doesn’t yield the best outcome every time. There’s always an element of luck that you can’t control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it’s difficult to say “I’m not sure” in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don’t always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don’t always lead to bad outcomes.

By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don’t, you’ll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You’ll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.

~

Links, Resources & Show Notes: http://www.thesocialchameleon.show/Thinking-in-Bets

~~~

Giveaways at: http://www.thesocialchameleon.show/pickme

Call: (480) 525-5258 Email: info@thesocialchameleon.show

Connect With Us:

Facebook: https://fb.me/SocialChameleonShow

Instagram: https://instagram.com/socialchameleonshow

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SocialChamShow

Subscribe:

YouTube: http://bit.ly/SCS-Subscribe

Apple Podcast:https://apple.co/2L8hl6R

Google Podcast: http://bit.ly/SCS-Google-Podcast

Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2KYJ0GF

Stitcher: https://bit.ly/SCS-Stitcher

More Apps Here http://thesocialchameleon.show/podcast

#SocialChameleonShow #BookReview #ThinkingInBets #AnnieDuke

  continue reading

186 つのエピソード

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