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June 2024 Harvard Harris Poll Debrief
Manage episode 428094281 series 2797437
コンテンツは Presidential Pollster Mark Penn によって提供されます。エピソード、グラフィック、ポッドキャストの説明を含むすべてのポッドキャスト コンテンツは、Presidential Pollster Mark Penn またはそのポッドキャスト プラットフォーム パートナーによって直接アップロードされ、提供されます。誰かがあなたの著作物をあなたの許可なく使用していると思われる場合は、ここで概説されているプロセスに従うことができますhttps://ja.player.fm/legal。
The poll was conducted June 28-30, 2024, among 2,090 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll. President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating dropped to 40%, his lowest since July 2022, while inflation and immigration remained voters’ top two concerns.
DEBATE HURTS BIDEN, HELPS TRUMP
- 74% of voters think Biden is too old to be President, an 11-point increase after the debate.
- 66% of voters have doubts about Biden’s mental fitness for office, a 12-point increase after the debate.
- Voters are on net 7 points more likely to vote for Trump after the debate and 20 points less likely to vote for Biden.
ATTITUDES TOWARD ECONOMY WORSEN
- 62% of voters characterize their personal economics as fair or poor, up 7 points from May.
- 52% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse, especially among Republican (69%) and rural (63%) voters.
- Biden’s approval on handling inflation dropped to 34%, his lowest in two years.
TRUMP CONTINUES TO LEAD HORSE RACE
- Trump leads Biden by 4 points in the horserace, down 2 points from last month.
- 41% of voters (a plurality) say Trump’s guilty verdict in the New York hush money case has no impact on their vote, while 31% say they are more likely to vote for Trump and 27% say less likely.
- Marco Rubio and Tim Scott are the VP nominees who would be most helpful to Trump.
IMMIGRATION-CRIME NEXUS CONTINUES TO CONCERN VOTERS
- Voters say the top issues caused by mass immigration are an increase in violence/crime (57%), a strain on resources such as healthcare and education (57%), and a rise in homelessness (55%).
- 56% of voters think Biden’s recent asylum ban for migrants caught illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border is “too little, too late.”
- 52% of voters support Biden’s recent executive order aimed at expediting citizenship for the undocumented spouses of U.S. citizens.
SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL REMAINS HIGH
- 64% of voters are paying close attention to the Israel-Hamas war, down 9 points from May, but support for Israel remains consistent at 80%.
- 67% of voters say Israel should retaliate against Hezbollah until they stop firing rockets into the north (ages 18-24: 53%; ages 65+: 85%).
Download the full results here. As always, I welcome your questions and comments.
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