Bear Market Rally vs New Bull Market with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research

Grizzle Pod: Thematic Growth Investing

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1y ago 1:01:35

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In this week’s podcast Grizzle was joined by Warren Pies, the Co-founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to help us make sense of both the equity and commodity markets, and why he believes we are in the midst of a bear market rally. Key topics discussed:

Why The Market Hasn't Bottomed

Earnings Still Falling
Yield Curve Still Inverted
Fed Still Hiking
Lack of Market Breadth

Why Pies Remains Long Oil

Inventory Draws Are Improving
OPEC Cuts Take Effect in May
China Demand Picking Up
US Recession Won’t Be Drastic

Will The Fed Pause?

Historically Fed Doesn’t Pause When Markets Rally
5-10% Correction Comes at End of Hike Cycle
What Happens in June Will Be Dictated By Market Performance
If CPI Remains Sticky A Pause From The Fed Will Be Harder

3Fourteen Research: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies / https://twitter.com/3F_Research

Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com

Follow Grizzle on Twitter: @grizzlemedia @margot_rubin @thomasg_grizzle @scottw_grizzle

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