最高の Emerging Markets ポッドキャスト (2024)

1
Athletic + career excellence and VC in the Balkans - Pedja Predin, Fifth Quarter Ventures 28:35

15d ago28:35

28:35

Send us a text Pedja is an INSEAD 14J and GP at Fifth Quarter Ventures, the first VC firm solely focused on Southeastern Europe. Pedja was on the Serbian National Water Polo team, and post-INSEAD scaled Gelato (a print-on-demand startup) into a unicorn my leading its expansion into emerging markets like India, China, and Russia. In this episode we …

1
Building Latin America's largest fintech - Livia Chanes, CEO Nubank Brazil 29:21

21d ago29:21

29:21

Send us a text Nubank (NYSE: NU) is Latin America's largest fintech company and the world's largest neobank with over 100 million users and a valuation of over $70 billion. Livia is an INSEAD 09D and prior to Nubank directed tech and business analytics at Itau Unibanco (Latin America's largest bank) and was a Partner at McKinsey.…

1
How the US election could shape global credit conditions 19:58

1M ago19:58

19:58

In this joint Big Picture-Emerging Market Decoded episode, our regional analysts highlight the key US policy areas to watch in Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America -- and discuss which economies and sectors could be at risk if policies were to dramatically change. Guests: Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings…

1
Positive credit stories emerging in a handful of Sub-Saharan African countries 17:19

2M ago17:19

17:19

Institutional reforms, policy reversals, debt restructurings and the prospect of new hydrocarbon production are leading to gradual improvement in some sovereigns’ creditworthiness from weak levels. Guest: John Walsh, Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Rese…

1
Geopolitical risk shapes creditworthiness for host of APAC governments 14:30

2M ago14:30

14:30

Risk exposure is highest for those directly involved in the region’s three main hotspots. But the knock-on economic effects of the tensions have the potential to hurt, or help, other APAC governments. Guest: Anushka Shah, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Gu…

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Corporate credit quality in India, Indonesia remains robust despite sectoral differences 14:30

3M ago14:30

14:30

India's large domestic market shields its companies from external shocks, whereas Indonesia's export-dependent commodity sector prompts government efforts to diversify growth. Guests: Rachel Chua, VP-Senior Analyst; Sweta Patodia, AVP-Analyst Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research: Nonfinancial Co…

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Is India the next China? with Kevin Carter, EMQQ Global 58:25

3M ago58:25

58:25

Send us a text Kevin Carter, founder and chief investment officer of EMQQ Global, joined us to disucss his journey in the investment world, initiated by his transformative reading of "A Random Walk Down Wall Street," which led to him working alongside economist Burton Malkiel of Princeton University in creating multiple stock market innovations lik…

1
Latin American national oil companies face hurdles in reducing greenhouse gas emissions 14:39

3M ago14:39

14:39

Challenges include the region’s reliance on fossil fuels to meet energy demand amid population growth, the companies’ weak financials and governments’ reliance on revenue from oil and gas producers. Guests: Roxana Munoz and Carolina Chimenti, both Vice President - Senior Analysts, Corporate Finance Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analys…

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Central bank push to tame inflation boosts credit quality of Turkish sovereign, companies 14:24

4M ago14:24

14:24

Rate hikes in Turkiye have slowed inflation, and confidence in the country’s currency is increasing. The sovereign’s creditworthiness is improving as a result, along with that of Turkish companies. Guests: Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Iker Ballestero Barrutia, Analyst, Corporate Finance Group, …

1
Kenya protests highlight transmission of social risk to sovereign creditworthiness 13:50

4M ago13:50

13:50

The opposition to proposed tax hikes impedes the government’s ability to increase revenue and reduce debt. Similar risks exist for other emerging market sovereigns too. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Credit Strategy and Research, Moo…

1
Steady GDP growth continues for emerging markets, with wide variation by country 19:57

5M ago19:57

19:57

We have revised our aggregate EM forecast up slightly to 3.9% for 2024-25 to reflect faster-than-expected growth in some of the largest EMs so far this year. Disinflation continues but is slowing. Speaker: Madhavi Bokil, Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy at Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Emerging Markets at Moody’s Ratings Relat…

1
South Africa’s creditworthiness with a new coalition government 12:30

5M ago12:30

12:30

The creation of a coalition government following 29 May elections will likely support broad policy continuity and reforms, but the risk of government instability and ineffectiveness is significant. Guest: Aurelien Mali, Vice President-Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Cre…

1
Views from Moody’s Global Emerging Markets 2024 virtual event 14:32

5M ago14:32

14:32

Moody’s Ratings experts discuss the fragile recovery and new threats in EMs, including macro conditions, default trends, credit risks for sovereigns and corporates, and bright spots. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Fragile recovery in EM credit conditions will continue Emerging Markets – Global: …

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Adventure capitalist quantitative investing - Asha Mehta, Global Delta Capital 47:44

6M ago47:44

47:44

Send us a text In this episode of the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast, we speak with Asha Mehta, Managing Partner at Global Delta Capital, about her impactful career in finance, focusing on emerging and frontier markets through a lens of sustainability and responsible investing. Asha founded Global Delta Capital after working as an investment banke…

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Frontier markets: higher risk, higher potential returns 19:20

6M ago19:20

19:20

Join Scott Phillips, head of EM at Moody’s Ratings, and Maciej Woznica, portfolio manager at asset management firm Coeli, for a tour of the least-developed emerging markets. Guest: Maciej Woznica, Portfolio Manager, Coeli Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Gradual recovery in emerging market credit …

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Speculative-grade default rate for emerging market companies improves with macro conditions 13:56

6M ago13:56

13:56

The default rate will decline to 3.3% by the end of Q1 2025, far below the peak of nearly 15% at the end of 2022 which was driven by the Russia-Ukraine war and China’s property market woes. Guest: Yang Liu, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Corporate…

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Middle East: from geopolitical tensions to Islamic finance 15:59

7M ago15:59

15:59

Moody’s analysts discuss the increased risk for sovereigns from escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, and then shift to the growing demand for Islamic finance. Guests: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Financial Institutions Group, Moody’s R…

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Global citizenship with Andrew Henderson, Nomad Capitalist 47:22

7M ago47:22

47:22

Send us a text Andrew Henderson is the Founder and CEO of Nomad Capitalist, the world's leading offshore consulting firm dedicated to helping clients make informed decisions on the best countries to invest, start a business and live in. Andrew has helped over 2,000 UHNW individuals go offshore and his YouTube channel has over 750,000 subscribers. N…

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EM macro conditions are improving unevenly as GDP growth stabilizes and inflation slows 11:11

7M ago11:11

11:11

Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America. Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…

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China’s push to shift economic growth engines faces hurdles but will benefit some EMs 15:35

8M ago15:35

15:35

It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit. Guest: Gong Cheng, Managing Director - Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…

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Nearshoring to Mexico - Jorge Gonzalez Henrichsen, The Nearshore Company 41:06

8M ago41:06

41:06

Send us a text In this episode, Jorge Gonzalez Henrichsen joins us to share his unique path from investment banking and an MBA at NYU Stern to acquiring and then running company at the forefront of the nearshoring movement. He dives deep into both the geopolitical and macroeconomic ramifications of nearshoring and the nitty gritty of what it takes …

1
Digging into key credit stories for emerging market sovereign investors across the globe 20:37

8M ago20:37

20:37

China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories. Guests: Lillian Li, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Ruosha Li, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bo…

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A focus on West Africa, where bright spots shine through political, security and climate risks 15:10

9M ago15:10

15:10

Positive developments include strong GDP growth in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, a lifting of sanctions on Niger, and a few countries tapping international bond markets so far this year. Speaker: Mickaël Gondrand, Assistant Vice President-Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Emergi…

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Transforming brands and lives across cultures - Emily Chang, CEO McCann WorldGroup China 37:00

9M ago37:00

37:00

Send us a text In this episode of the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast, we were joined by Emily Chang, a powerhouse in the world of international marketing and business strategy. Currently CEO of VML West (and CEO of McCann Worldgroup in China at the time of recording), Emily's storied career spans influential roles at global giants like Starbucks, …

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State-contingent debt instruments gain traction in restructurings as sovereign defaults rise 14:56

9M ago14:56

14:56

These instruments provide flexibility on debt-service payments and can help bridge differences in restructuring talks. Protracted talks delay critical structural reforms and increase default risk. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Di…

1
Emerging market central banks lower rates while US Fed signals rate cuts are not imminent 12:54

10M ago12:54

12:54

Recent interest rate cuts in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Hungary are among the signs that EM financial conditions are improving. The primary market for EM bond issuance is likely to remain strong. Hosts: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets at Moody's …

1
Middle East, North Africa credit conditions are stable in 2024 despite elevated geopolitical risks 16:32

10M ago16:32

16:32

Conditions are more stable for sovereigns, banks and companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region than in North Africa and Levant. An escalation of the Israel-Hamas military conflict is main risk. Speakers: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice Preside…

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Five top-of-mind credit stories for EM sovereign investors in 2024 17:17

11M ago17:17

17:17

Redefault risk in Argentina, general elections in South Africa, financial conditions and debt affordability in Egypt, monetary policy in Turkiye and economic growth in China are top stories this year. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director - Global Sovereign Risk - Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerg…

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Growing environmental awareness in EM and other trends to watch 21:37

11M ago21:37

21:37

Emerging Market are changing fast, but while some topics and challenges might be shared with the developed world, the solutions are often starkly different. In this podcast Mike Ivatt discusses with Tassos Stassopoulos the growing importance of environmental awareness in Emerging Markets, and why EMs might be better placed to find the answers to en…

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COP28 climate summit highlights carbon transition risks for emerging markets 20:14

12M ago20:14

20:14

Carbon transition, adaptation to climate change and climate finance – core topics at COP28 – are crucial for EMs because of their exposure to environmental risks and limited capacity to respond. Speakers: Rebecca Karnovitz, VP-SCO – ESG Research & Outreach at Moody’s Investors Service; Matt Kuchtyak, VP-Sustainable Finance at Moody’s Investors Serv…

1
Economic considerations underpin stable emerging market 2024 outlook 15:06

1y ago15:06

15:06

EM GDP growth will slow, largely because of China’s slowdown. Export-led EMs will suffer from weak global trade activity, but domestic-focused EMs will fare better. Pockets of inflation risk exist. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Mood…

1
Emerging market central banks reassess pace of monetary easing as US Fed holds rates for longer 12:13

1y ago12:13

12:13

Continued high US interest rates, strong US dollar and possible rise in commodity prices mean EM central banks are likely to recalibrate the pace, if not the depth, of their interest rate cuts. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Moody's …

1
A focus on emerging markets as bond yields and oil prices oscillate, plus a deep dive on Egypt 20:09

1y ago20:09

20:09

This podcast episode examines the effect of interest-rate and oil-price volatility on EM, inflation in Asia and Central-Eastern Europe, monetary policy in LatAm and Egypt’s weakening credit quality. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Elisa Parisi-Capone, Vice President - Senior Analyst - Sovereigns, M…

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How recent US, UK, euro area monetary policy decisions, US dollar strength affect emerging markets 23:34

1y ago23:34

23:34

Moody’s strategists discuss recent central bank decisions, EM financial conditions, US dollar strength and EM currency weakness, Poland’s election and India’s inclusion in an EM government bond index. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst -- Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Steffen Dyck, Senior Vice President -- Sovereigns, Moody's Invest…

1
Disinflation continues in EMs; Mexico’s industrial production rises; Gabon’s outlook turns negative 20:07

1y ago20:07

20:07

Moody’s analysts discuss the country-specific reasons inflation is slowing in emerging markets; why Mexico’s industrial production is increasing; and how Gabon’s coup factored into its outlook change. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst – Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Mickaël Gondrand, Analyst – Sovereigns, Moody’s Investors Service …

1
Stress in China’s property sector has potential knock-on effects across multiple sectors 19:07

1y ago19:07

19:07

In this episode, Moody’s analysts discuss the reasons for the current property-sector stress and the potential effects for developers, banks that finance them, local authorities and the economy. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investors ServiceScott Phillips による

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More emerging market sovereigns pursue debt-for-nature swaps to reduce debt burdens 24:41

1y ago24:41

24:41

Moody’s analysts discuss the growing use – and credit effect – of these transactions amid some sovereigns’ debt sustainability concerns and a need to invest in climate initiatives. Speakers: Thorsten Nestmann, Senior Vice President - Group Credit Officer, Sovereigns and Christopher Bredholt, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Public Project an…

1
Emerging Markets insights and view ahead with Kojo Amoo-Gottfried 28:03

1+ y ago28:03

28:03

BSI Fund Chief Investment Officer Kojo Amoo-Gottfried joins Emerging Markets Decoded to discuss emerging markets topics including the macro perspective and investor sentiment toward the asset class. Speaker: Kojo Amoo-Gottfried, Chief Investment Officer, BSI Fund Hosts: Scott Phillips, AMD – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investor’s Service; Vittoria Zo…

1
China’s soft economic recovery raises contingent liability risks from LGFVs 19:41

1+ y ago19:41

19:41

Moody’s analysts discuss the economic and credit outlook for China, including the role of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) and their debt burdens, and the latest on the property sector. Speakers: Lillian Li, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Jessie Tung, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Vittori…

1
South Africa power cuts dim economic outlook 22:38

1+ y ago22:38

22:38

Moody’s analysts discuss the credit effects of South Africa’s energy crisis, including macro and social implications, as well as the government’s plans to address the crisis. Speakers: Aurelien Mali, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Neil Griffiths-Lambeth, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Investors Service Host…

1
Debt sustainability is at risk for frontier market sovereigns 15:45

1+ y ago15:45

15:45

Moody’s analysts discuss updates to long-term sovereign debt forecasts, accounting for recent market conditions, including higher inflation and interest rates. Speaker: Lucie Villa, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s In…

1
Moody’s Global Emerging Markets Summit 2023: High hopes, higher risks? 26:12

1+ y ago26:12

26:12

Special guests Lee C. Buchheit and David Lubin share their insights on emerging market sovereign debt crises, the US dollar’s future as a global reserve currency, China’s evolving economy and more. Speakers: Lee C. Buchheit, Professor, University of Edinburgh; David Lubin, Head of EM Economics, Citi, Associate Fellow at Chatham House Host: Scott Ph…

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$8.5B emerging market asset management - Nick Rohatyn, The Rohatyn Group 36:09

1+ y ago36:09

36:09

Send us a text Nicolas Rohatyn serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a team of 190+ emerging market specialists in 18 countries dedicated to pursuing investment opportunities in these economies by focusing on areas of structural inefficiency and special opportunity. The firm has over $8 billion in assets under management an…

1
Is India the next emerging market powerhouse? 16:21

1+ y ago16:21

16:21

Moody’s analysts discuss India’s growing manufacturing and infrastructure sectors, favorable demographics and potential to achieve significant scale across multiple sectors in the next decade. Speaker: Kaustubh Chaubal, Senior Vice President – Corporate Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging …

1
Emerging markets with nature-dependent sectors face natural capital depletion risks 15:45

1+ y ago15:45

15:45

Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to natural capital and biodiversity loss, why emerging markets are more at risk than advanced economies and which sectors are most exposed. Speakers: Lucia Lopez, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Rahul Ghosh, MD – Sustainable Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Kelvin Dalrympl…

1
Cost-of-living crisis weakens social contracts across the globe, adding to global economic risks 11:20

1+ y ago11:20

11:20

Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to the social contract, and how a weakening in the contract is often associated with credit deterioration in the countries where it takes place. Speakers: Elisa Parisi-Capone, VP – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service; David Rogovic, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Shiri…

1
Making UHNW hospitality thrive through COVID and beyond - Yeshi Phuntso, Àni Private Resorts 38:22

1+ y ago38:22

38:22

Send us a text In this episode, we spoke with Yeshi Phuntso, CEO of Àni Private Resorts about how his strategic focus on community engagement and employee empowerment has created a thriving brand. Àni is the world’s first private resort collection offering exclusive retreats in the most beautiful and far-flung corners of the earth, ÀNI Private Reso…

1
Emerging market corporate credit quality better placed to handle next downturn 15:43

1+ y ago15:43

15:43

Moody's analysts explore two downside scenarios to frame the likely impact of a US recession on EM corporates, combining lessons from past downturns with the many changes to the credit landscape in the years since. Speakers: Kelvin Dalrymple, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Moody's Investors Service Ho…

1
Climate Tech Innovation with Jamil Wyne, founder of Climate Tech Bootcamp 40:46

1+ y ago40:46

40:46

Send us a text Jamil Wyne is an INSEAD 18J and advisor, investor, professor and author focusing on climate, entrepreneurship, technology and economic development around the world, including a strong concentration on climate change. Worked with World Bank, IFC, UN, Clean Energy Venture Group, Catalyst Investment Management, Schmidt Futures, Wamda, a…

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World Bank-IMF Spring Meetings will cover range of emerging market credit topics 19:09

1+ y ago19:09

19:09

Moody’s analysts explore the key themes and policy issues likely to be at the center of the upcoming World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings, including banking turmoil, tightening credit, ESG and more. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director – Sovereign Risk, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets,…

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